February 05, 2025

Global Lens: Power, Policy, and the Precarious Balance of International Law


By Ephraim Agbo

Welcome to today’s edition of Global Lens, where we break down the latest geopolitical developments through the lens of international law, governance, and diplomacy.


Trump’s Gaza Proposal: A Breach of International Law?

U.S. President Donald Trump’s controversial proposal for the U.S. to seize control of Gaza and forcibly displace its population has drawn sharp criticism from world leaders. Germany and France have condemned the plan as a grave violation of international law, while Middle Eastern nations—including Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey—have outright rejected it.

Legally, the proposal violates several key international agreements:

  • The Fourth Geneva Convention (Article 49) prohibits the forcible transfer of civilians from occupied territories.
  • The UN Charter (Articles 1 and 2) upholds the sovereignty of nations and the right to self-determination.
  • The Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court (Article 7) classifies mass deportation or forced population transfers as crimes against humanity.

If pursued, this policy could face challenges at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) or even lead to potential war crimes charges at the International Criminal Court (ICC). However, the muted response from some global players reflects a broader reluctance to directly challenge Washington—underscoring the geopolitical weight the U.S. continues to hold.


Mass Deportations from the U.S.: Policy or Political Symbolism?

In a rare move, a U.S. military aircraft recently deported over 100 unauthorized Indian nationals, who either entered the country illegally or overstayed their visas. While deportations are legal under U.S. immigration law, the use of military planes instead of commercial flights is highly unusual and costly. Analysts suggest that this move is largely symbolic, reinforcing Trump’s strict stance on immigration.

Under international human rights law, deportations must follow due process. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights (Article 13) recognizes individuals' rights to movement, and deportations conducted arbitrarily, without legal review, could violate international norms on non-refoulement—a principle preventing countries from expelling individuals to places where they might face persecution or harm.

While India’s response has been measured, the broader implications of this policy could strain diplomatic relations, particularly with nations that have large migrant populations in the U.S.


Deadly School Fire in Nigeria: A Governance and Human Rights Failure

A devastating fire at an Islamic school in Zamfara State, Nigeria, has claimed the lives of at least 17 children. The fire broke out at night, trapping many students as they slept. Slow emergency response times likely worsened the death toll, and local authorities have yet to issue an official statement, fueling public frustration.

This tragedy highlights Nigeria’s obligations under:

  • The UN Convention on the Rights of the Child (Articles 6 & 28), which mandates safe educational environments.
  • The International Covenant on Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights (ICESCR), which requires governments to ensure safe infrastructure for public services.

Nigeria has long struggled with lax enforcement of safety regulations in schools. Without urgent reforms and stricter oversight, such tragedies may continue.


Congo’s Humanitarian Crisis: The Risk of Cholera Amid Conflict

The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is on the brink of a major health disaster as cholera cases surge in the conflict-ridden city of Goma. With medical supplies dwindling, sanitation systems collapsing, and humanitarian aid restricted, aid workers warn that the situation could spiral into an epidemic.

Under international humanitarian law (IHL), both state and non-state actors are obligated to facilitate medical assistance in conflict zones. The Geneva Conventions explicitly require warring parties to allow humanitarian relief, making any obstruction of aid a potential war crime.

With the World Health Organization (WHO) already raising alarms, the international community faces growing pressure to intervene before the crisis escalates beyond control.


France’s Political Crisis: Executive Power vs. Parliamentary Oversight

In France, Prime Minister Gabriel Attal is facing a no-confidence vote after bypassing parliamentary approval to push through the national budget. While legal under Article 49.3 of the French Constitution, this maneuver has sparked backlash over executive overreach.

The provision allows governments to bypass legislative debate on financial matters, but its repeated use raises concerns about the strength of France’s democracy. If Attal survives the vote, his government may remain in power—but politically weakened—fueling calls for constitutional reforms.


Philippines: Duterte’s Impeachment and Political Infighting

In a dramatic turn of events, the Philippines’ lower house of Congress has voted to impeach Vice President Sara Duterte over allegations of fund mismanagement and an extraordinary claim that she plotted an assassination against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.

The 1987 Philippine Constitution outlines clear grounds for impeachment, but critics argue that this move is politically motivated. The ongoing feud between the Duterte and Marcos factions threatens to reshape the country’s political landscape in the years ahead.


U.S. Postal Service Reverses China Shipping Ban: Trade Law in Focus

In a surprising policy reversal, the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) has rescinded its decision to block shipments from China and Hong Kong—just hours after announcing the ban. The abrupt turnaround, with no official explanation, has fueled speculation about possible diplomatic or economic pressure.

Under World Trade Organization (WTO) regulations, trade restrictions must be justified under specific exemptions, such as national security or public health concerns. A broad, unexplained shipping ban could have violated WTO agreements, potentially triggering trade disputes between the U.S. and China.

This reversal highlights the fragile nature of U.S.-China economic relations, where policy shifts can have global ripple effects.


Final Thoughts: A World in Legal and Political Turmoil

Today's global headlines illustrate the growing tension between national policies and international legal obligations. From Trump's Gaza proposal violating humanitarian law to mass deportations raising human rights concerns, and France's constitutional crisis testing democracy, the role of international law in shaping world affairs has never been more crucial.

Ultimately, the enforcement of these legal frameworks depends on the willingness of global actors to uphold them. In an era where power politics often trumps legal accountability, the international community must decide whether it will stand by its principles—or continue to allow selective adherence to the rules that govern our world.


That concludes today’s edition of Global Lens: Asking the Big Questions. Stay informed, stay critical, and continue watching the world through the lens of law and diplomacy.

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